玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/100.856.044.486.8831.052.63N/A-
2024/90.8-18.0452.916.0329.352.571.12合併子公司致營收增加
2024/80.9823.7383.555.2326.372.461.17合併子公司致營收增加
2024/70.7914.2446.344.2517.912.061.4-
2024/60.6920.2849.573.4612.91.851.05-
2024/50.58-1.29-0.332.776.381.841.05-
2024/40.58-14.677.812.198.31.751.11-
2024/30.6842.1414.051.618.481.610.92-
2024/20.487.49-6.010.934.711.291.15-
2024/10.4523.6719.380.4519.381.251.18-
2023/120.36-19.0-30.886.0618.031.40.93-
2023/110.45-24.1216.385.6923.581.560.83-
2023/100.5912.1822.15.2524.231.640.79-
2023/90.52-1.6251.124.6624.51.60.75子公司業績成長
2023/80.53-1.356.594.1421.781.540.78-
2023/70.5416.7716.593.624.411.580.76-
2023/60.46-19.8515.473.0625.891.580.66-
2023/50.586.7724.582.627.941.720.61-
2023/40.54-9.7342.652.0228.941.650.63-
2023/30.617.1233.191.4824.581.480.57-
2023/20.5136.5617.330.8919.361.410.6-
2023/10.37-28.422.240.3722.241.280.66-
2022/120.5236.428.465.1330.251.390.57-
2022/110.38-20.395.764.6130.461.210.65-
2022/100.4838.8433.254.2233.281.330.59-
2022/90.35-30.616.123.7433.281.310.6-
2022/80.57.9144.773.436.861.360.57-
2022/70.4615.6535.362.935.581.330.59-
2022/60.4-13.5325.262.4335.621.240.5-
2022/50.4622.2651.22.0337.871.290.48子公司業績成長。
2022/40.38-15.7115.211.5734.381.260.49-
2022/30.453.1749.661.1941.881.190.5-
2022/20.4442.2852.910.7437.551.150.51子公司業績成長
2022/10.31-24.7720.350.3120.351.080.55-
2021/120.4112.29113.383.948.581.130.52子公司業績成長
2021/110.360.2930.523.532.771.050.56-
2021/100.3610.5844.093.170.331.030.57-
2021/90.33-5.335.632.81-3.431.010.61-
2021/80.350.8922.622.48-4.511.010.62-
2021/70.347.01-3.92.14-7.810.970.64-
2021/60.324.37-3.731.79-8.520.950.57-
2021/50.31-6.844.511.47-9.50.940.58-
2021/40.339.4815.161.17-12.570.910.59-
2021/30.35.418.250.84-20.10.840.62-
2021/20.2811.98-33.740.54-30.280.730.71-
2021/10.2533.37-25.950.25-25.950.720.72-
2020/120.19-31.3-41.283.63-13.570.720.68-
2020/110.2810.72-30.023.44-11.240.840.58-
2020/100.25-18.93-39.443.16-9.10.840.58-
2020/90.319.88-7.522.91-5.00.950.49-
2020/80.28-20.93-18.562.6-4.690.970.47-
2020/70.367.2-13.02.32-2.670.980.47-
2020/60.3313.31-30.671.96-0.530.910.52-
2020/50.292.65-27.911.639.130.860.55-
2020/40.292.91-24.41.3423.00.990.47-
2020/30.28-35.4819.661.0548.261.050.46-
2020/20.4325.15125.860.7762.161.10.44子公司業績成長。
2020/10.345.7519.850.3419.851.070.45-
2019/120.32-18.1350.884.227.360.0N/A子公司業績成長。
2019/110.4-4.1853.263.8725.720.0N/A子公司業績成長。
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/10.452023/10.372022/10.312021/10.252020/10.34
2024/20.482023/20.512022/20.442021/20.282020/20.43
2024/30.682023/30.62022/30.452021/30.32020/30.28
2024/40.582023/40.542022/40.382021/40.332020/40.29
2024/50.582023/50.582022/50.462021/50.312020/50.29
2024/60.692023/60.462022/60.42021/60.322020/60.33
2024/70.792023/70.542022/70.462021/70.342020/70.36
2024/80.982023/80.532022/80.52021/80.352020/80.28
2024/90.82023/90.522022/90.352021/90.332020/90.31
2024/100.852023/100.592022/100.482021/100.362020/100.25
N/AN/A2023/110.452022/110.382021/110.362020/110.28
N/AN/A2023/120.362022/120.522021/120.412020/120.19
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 3.71%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.16-33.3360.0
24Q2 (19)0.24300.0140.0
24Q1 (18)0.0620.0-50.0
23Q4 (17)0.05-50.00
23Q3 (16)0.10.00
23Q2 (15)0.1-16.670
23Q1 (14)0.1200

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