玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/114.03-11.17-19.7447.8716.7113.08N/A-
2024/104.530.320.0543.8421.813.75N/A-
2024/94.52-3.82-6.2939.3124.9314.110.03-
2024/84.7-4.05-1.1134.7930.5814.490.03-
2024/74.90.0718.3630.0937.4614.420.03-
2024/64.895.7347.725.1941.9113.850.02-
2024/54.636.9231.4420.340.5813.250.02-
2024/44.330.8843.3515.6743.5311.650.02-
2024/34.2941.3239.611.3443.611.340.06-
2024/23.04-24.478.667.0546.1512.260.05-
2024/14.02-22.7297.674.0297.6714.240.04今年工作日較去年同期增加
2023/125.23.6715.4446.21-9.4114.750.02-
2023/115.0210.7313.7341.01-11.8214.370.03-
2023/104.53-6.04-15.4635.99-14.514.10.03-
2023/94.821.48-9.9431.46-14.3613.710.04-
2023/84.7514.84-10.1426.64-15.1112.20.04-
2023/74.1424.88-15.4521.89-16.1210.970.05-
2023/63.31-5.9-21.5317.75-16.289.850.04-
2023/53.5216.61-5.3814.44-14.979.610.04-
2023/43.02-1.74-8.7410.92-17.668.890.04-
2023/33.0710.0-10.557.9-20.637.90.04-
2023/22.7937.387.114.83-25.959.330.04-
2023/12.03-54.87-48.02.03-48.010.950.03-
2022/124.512.134.2151.0223.3514.280.02-
2022/114.41-17.73.8646.5125.5815.120.02-
2022/105.360.134.3442.128.3916.00.02-
2022/95.351.2548.6436.7427.0115.530.03-
2022/85.298.0551.8431.3823.9314.40.03今年訂單大幅增加,多個工地進入施工期,將按完工比例法陸續認列收入
2022/74.8915.934.8926.119.4812.840.04-
2022/64.2213.453.6421.216.4111.250.06-
2022/53.7212.4712.6416.9820.0910.460.06-
2022/43.31-3.690.2313.2622.369.350.07-
2022/33.4431.7214.499.9532.059.950.03-
2022/22.61-33.334.886.5243.6610.840.03-
2022/13.91-9.5550.183.9150.1812.480.03今年訂單大幅增加,多個工地進入施工期,將按完工比例法陸續認列收入。
2021/124.321.858.6441.3632.5212.560.03今年訂單大幅增加,多個工地進入施工期,將按完工比例法陸續認列收入。
2021/114.256.4466.3637.0330.0211.840.03今年訂單大幅增加,多個工地進入施工期,將按完工比例法陸續認列收入。
2021/103.9910.7665.9432.7926.4411.070.03今年訂單大幅增加,多個工地進入施工期,將按完工比例法陸續認列收入。
2021/93.63.4348.7328.9322.9510.710.04-
2021/83.48-3.9923.925.3219.9911.180.04-
2021/73.63-10.9424.9121.8419.3911.00.04-
2021/64.0723.353.3918.2118.3510.680.04今年訂單大幅增加,多個工地進入施工期,將按完工比例法陸續認列收入。
2021/53.30.0730.0114.1411.049.60.04-
2021/43.310.0111.010.846.318.230.05-
2021/33.055.1814.627.544.387.540.04-
2021/21.93-25.74-5.284.54-1.437.260.04-
2021/12.6-4.461.632.61.637.880.04-
2020/122.736.76-36.1931.21-26.057.680.03-
2020/112.556.17-37.8228.48-24.917.380.03-
2020/102.4-0.72-32.1325.93-23.347.640.03-
2020/92.42-13.83-23.9423.53-22.318.140.03-
2020/82.81-3.22-26.5621.1-22.128.370.03-
2020/72.99.35-45.7218.29-21.398.10.03-
2020/62.664.51-40.6115.39-14.138.170.04-
2020/52.54-14.54-21.3312.73-5.338.130.04-
2020/42.9713.596.3310.19-0.277.630.05-
2020/32.6228.234.197.22-2.767.220.04-
2020/22.04-20.3237.744.6-6.328.870.03-
2020/12.56-40.01-25.352.56-25.350.0N/A-
2019/124.274.03-0.9242.29.680.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/14.022023/12.032022/13.912021/12.62020/12.56
2024/23.042023/22.792022/22.612021/21.932020/22.04
2024/34.292023/33.072022/33.442021/33.02020/32.62
2024/44.332023/43.022022/43.312021/43.32020/42.97
2024/54.632023/53.522022/53.722021/53.32020/52.54
2024/64.892023/63.312022/64.222021/64.072020/62.66
2024/74.92023/74.142022/74.892021/73.632020/72.9
2024/84.72023/84.752022/85.292021/83.482020/82.81
2024/94.522023/94.822022/95.352021/93.62020/92.42
2024/104.532023/104.532022/105.362021/103.992020/102.4
2024/114.032023/115.022022/114.412021/114.252020/112.55
N/AN/A2023/125.22022/124.512021/124.322020/122.73
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 54.7%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)3.6120.74-18.51
24Q2 (19)2.99-18.53-22.74
24Q1 (18)3.67-9.839.88
23Q4 (17)4.07-8.1317.29
23Q3 (16)4.4314.477.0
23Q2 (15)3.8715.8782.55
23Q1 (14)3.34-3.7528.46
22Q4 (13)3.47-16.1835.02
22Q3 (12)4.1495.28102.94
22Q2 (11)2.12-18.4617.78
22Q1 (10)2.61.17100.0
21Q4 (9)2.5725.9812.72
21Q3 (8)2.0413.3322.16
21Q2 (7)1.838.46-15.09
21Q1 (6)1.3-42.98-46.72
20Q4 (5)2.2836.53-22.18
20Q3 (4)1.67-21.230.0
20Q2 (3)2.12-13.110.0
20Q1 (2)2.44-16.720.0
19Q4 (1)2.930.00.0

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