玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q1 (20)1.893.8558.8218.28-31.41-9.548.26-3.23-36.854.9846.0410.42145.6232.99-26.67-92.38-64.3221.48
23Q4 (19)1.820.5511.6626.6516.83-7.6349.87-0.99-10.883.41-14.548.25109.50-2.14-12.69-56.222.3115.2
23Q3 (18)1.819.7-10.8422.810.932.3850.37-8.6712.513.99-0.99-2.21111.90-17.032.95-57.5523.973.81
23Q2 (17)1.6538.66-24.3122.6011.8818.6455.15-27.8332.134.03-10.64-15.69134.87-32.083.84-75.6935.679.21
23Q1 (16)1.19-26.99-29.5920.20-29.98-15.5276.4236.5641.74.5143.1718.37198.5758.3439.58-117.65-77.45-39.2
22Q4 (15)1.63-19.7-13.7628.8529.4924.2555.9624.9916.13.15-22.79-19.64125.4115.380.08-66.30-10.819.41
22Q3 (14)2.03-6.8824.5422.2816.964.644.777.26-19.684.08-14.64-4.45108.69-16.32-6.66-59.8328.24-6.03
22Q2 (13)2.1828.990.4619.05-20.33-21.841.74-22.6-0.64.7825.4627.81129.88-8.718.8-83.371.36-31.08
22Q1 (12)1.69-10.58-24.2223.912.9712.3653.9311.8932.313.81-2.81-10.98142.2613.531.67-84.52-15.4810.92
21Q4 (11)1.8915.95-12.923.229.018.9648.20-13.5315.173.92-8.2-8.2125.317.61-10.61-73.19-29.722.19
21Q3 (10)1.63-24.88-13.7621.30-12.5617.4855.7432.7516.04.2714.17-14.94116.456.51-18.49-56.4311.2737.16
21Q2 (9)2.17-2.6934.7824.3614.4728.1441.993.02-25.663.74-12.62-21.92109.33-21.86-24.71-63.6032.9724.24
21Q1 (8)2.232.76116.521.28-0.14-12.6440.76-2.6-53.884.280.2314.44139.92-0.19-13.97-94.88-0.87-34.54
20Q4 (7)2.1714.8168.2221.3117.54-35.4441.85-12.9-40.64.27-14.9454.71140.18-1.8820.49-94.06-4.74-118.08
20Q3 (6)1.8917.3913.1718.13-4.63-33.2248.05-14.93-11.795.024.849.85142.87-1.6152.35-89.80-6.97-149.72
20Q2 (5)1.6156.31-16.1519.01-21.96-7.3656.48-36.0918.934.7928.078.13145.21-10.7231.34-83.95-19.04-43.19
20Q1 (4)1.03-20.160.024.36-26.20.088.3825.450.03.7435.510.0162.6439.80.0-70.52-63.510.0
19Q4 (3)1.29-22.750.033.0121.580.070.4529.340.02.76-17.610.0116.3424.060.0-43.13-19.940.0
19Q3 (2)1.67-13.020.027.1532.310.054.4714.70.03.35-24.380.093.78-15.180.0-35.9638.670.0
19Q2 (1)1.920.00.020.520.00.047.490.00.04.430.00.0110.560.00.0-58.630.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)6.06-14.41115.42-14.7960.2016.733.1617.47151.3220.8-87.950
2022 (9)7.08-12.27135.4618.6751.5714.042.69-15.94125.274.46-71.010
2021 (8)8.0762.05114.1510.6545.22-38.343.20-9.6119.92-22.16-71.510
2020 (7)4.98-15.02103.164.6773.3417.833.54-4.32154.0625.36-77.190
2019 (6)5.86-23.498.5636.4262.2430.483.70-26.73122.896.6-56.950
2018 (5)7.65-23.4272.25-27.5347.7030.515.0537.98115.2817.42-62.530
2017 (4)9.99099.69036.5503.66098.180-57.970

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