玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 大部份公司都有淡旺季, 所以通常是看年增率
  • 如果是成長期(在炒新的成長動能)的公司或景氣從谷底翻揚, 就可以觀察月增率
  • 漲很多的股票要留意營收年增率或月增率大幅減少, 又或者是合約負債已經開始減少
  • 留意短期平均營收向上或向下穿越長期平均營收
  • 觀察累計營收年增率的累計增加或虧損收斂
每月營收 (營收搶先看自結損益)
年/月營收月增率(%)去年同期年增率(%)累計營收累計營收年增率(%)近三月累計營收存貨銷售比自結稅前EPS自結稅前累計EPS備註(年增率變動50%需說明原因)
2024/1117.0633.17110.42119.8832.2141.92N/A主係O2O Solutions逐步回溫與Embedded Foundry需求強勁所致。
2024/1012.816.3562.58102.8224.5337.08N/A主係O2O Solutions逐步回溫與Embedded Foundry需求強勁所致。
2024/912.05-1.4533.7990.0120.5135.970.89-
2024/812.224.4648.977.9618.6937.150.86-
2024/711.7-11.4942.265.7414.3735.460.9-
2024/613.2225.546.5854.049.7231.880.86-
2024/510.5329.7320.3840.811.4627.361.0-
2024/48.12-6.745.8630.28-3.7923.541.16-
2024/38.7129.67-10.622.16-6.922.161.21-
2024/26.71-0.33-5.5113.45-4.3421.431.25-
2024/16.74-15.57-3.156.74-3.1522.831.17-
2023/127.98-1.58-15.8698.66-17.5923.971.04-
2023/118.112.89-8.8390.68-17.7424.991.0-
2023/107.88-12.47-22.1882.57-18.5325.090.99-
2023/99.09.67-27.4474.69-18.1225.441.09-
2023/88.21-0.24-31.9165.68-16.6525.461.09-
2023/78.23-8.76-25.2457.47-13.926.01.07-
2023/69.023.07-20.7349.25-11.6625.441.15-
2023/58.7514.08-2.2940.23-9.3326.161.12-
2023/47.67-21.25-12.931.47-11.1124.521.19-
2023/39.7437.06-13.6423.8-10.5223.81.31-
2023/27.112.14-3.5214.06-8.2223.551.33-
2023/16.96-26.65-12.586.96-12.5825.341.23-
2022/129.496.63-8.04119.7329.9528.511.15-
2022/118.89-12.16-2.42110.2434.7431.431.04-
2022/1010.13-18.3920.54101.3539.434.590.95-
2022/912.412.9251.3291.2241.8635.481.07主要係受惠缺料情況進一步緩解,訂單出貨較為順暢所致
2022/812.069.5253.2178.8140.4834.451.11主要係受惠缺料情況進一步緩解,訂單出貨較為順暢所致
2022/711.01-3.2452.2866.7538.431.341.22主要係受惠缺料情況進一步緩解,訂單出貨較為順暢所致
2022/611.3827.0446.2355.7535.9529.141.3-
2022/58.961.6930.5144.3733.5529.041.3-
2022/48.81-21.9132.8435.4134.3427.451.38-
2022/311.2853.1266.9826.634.8426.61.34本月較去年同期增加67%,主係因商業物聯網(Commercial IoT)與物聯網基礎建設(IoT Infrastructure)出貨同步增加
2022/27.37-7.448.3215.3218.1125.641.39-
2022/17.96-22.8428.917.9628.9127.391.3-
2021/1210.3113.1516.1192.1313.8927.831.13-
2021/119.128.5141.8581.8213.6125.721.23-
2021/108.42.4318.6772.710.8424.471.29-
2021/98.24.27.1564.39.923.31.24-
2021/87.878.8512.956.110.3122.881.26-
2021/77.23-7.0915.9248.239.921.871.32-
2021/67.7813.3912.4741.08.921.271.17-
2021/56.863.519.4933.228.0920.251.23-
2021/46.63-1.8513.7726.367.7420.181.23-
2021/36.75-0.661.619.735.8519.731.14-
2021/26.810.159.2112.978.2121.861.03-
2021/16.17-30.57.146.177.1421.481.05-
2020/128.8838.2316.1180.9-16.9922.390.93-
2020/116.43-9.21-26.672.01-19.8121.160.98-
2020/107.08-7.51-11.765.59-19.0721.70.96-
2020/97.659.79-9.6658.51-19.8820.861.13-
2020/86.9711.77-22.6150.86-21.2220.121.18-
2020/76.24-9.85-23.6443.89-21.019.421.22-
2020/66.9210.38-20.5237.65-20.5419.011.35-
2020/56.277.55-23.4930.73-20.5518.741.37-
2020/45.83-12.34-23.4224.46-19.7618.71.37-
2020/36.656.77-20.3618.64-18.5418.641.22-
2020/26.238.06-4.0711.99-17.519.641.16-
2020/15.76-24.68-28.335.76-28.330.0N/A-
2019/127.65-12.62-17.5297.46-0.810.0N/A-
股價
長短期營收
營收年增率
由營收觀察是否有淡旺季的情況
年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收年/月營收
2024/16.742023/16.962022/17.962021/16.172020/15.76
2024/26.712023/27.112022/27.372021/26.82020/26.23
2024/38.712023/39.742022/311.282021/36.752020/36.65
2024/48.122023/47.672022/48.812021/46.632020/45.83
2024/510.532023/58.752022/58.962021/56.862020/56.27
2024/613.222023/69.022022/611.382021/67.782020/66.92
2024/711.72023/78.232022/711.012021/77.232020/76.24
2024/812.222023/88.212022/812.062021/87.872020/86.97
2024/912.052023/99.02022/912.412021/98.22020/97.65
2024/1012.812023/107.882022/1010.132021/108.42020/107.08
2024/1117.062023/118.112022/118.892021/119.122020/116.43
N/AN/A2023/127.982022/129.492021/1210.312020/128.88
  • 每季的合約負債通常會反應在未來半年到一年後的營收
合約負債-近20季, 最新合約負債佔股本: 33.24%
合約負債 QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)3.57-4.291.13
24Q2 (19)3.735.073.9
24Q1 (18)3.5512.74.72
23Q4 (17)3.15-10.76-3.67
23Q3 (16)3.53-1.67-10.18
23Q2 (15)3.595.9-6.51
23Q1 (14)3.393.67-29.67
22Q4 (13)3.27-16.79-34.99
22Q3 (12)3.932.34-10.48
22Q2 (11)3.84-20.33-7.69
22Q1 (10)4.82-4.1717.56
21Q4 (9)5.0314.5832.37
21Q3 (8)4.395.5315.53
21Q2 (7)4.161.4612.74
21Q1 (6)4.17.8914.21
20Q4 (5)3.80.010.14
20Q3 (4)3.82.980.0
20Q2 (3)3.692.790.0
20Q1 (2)3.594.060.0
19Q4 (1)3.450.00.0

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