玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
近3年股價
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)1.71-2.290.590.65-1.5220.3753.111.96-0.95140.130.94-17.5957.7516.5524.97135.48-4.17-23.66
24Q2 (19)1.758.71.160.6637.529.4152.09-7.69-0.76138.83-26.04-21.7749.55-15.1514.33141.37-23.88-24.25
24Q1 (18)1.61-7.475.230.48-17.242.1356.437.61-5.35187.7019.04-2.8858.4025.1129.98185.7313.64-10.69
23Q4 (17)1.742.3527.940.587.419.4352.44-2.2-21.68157.68-7.27-8.546.681.02-3.35163.44-7.9-14.42
23Q3 (16)1.70-1.734.940.545.88-10.053.622.15-4.57170.05-4.1813.046.216.62-5.83177.46-4.9112.59
23Q2 (15)1.7313.078.810.518.510.052.49-11.96-8.36177.47-8.180.2543.34-3.54-25.28186.63-10.265.86
23Q1 (14)1.5312.51.320.47-11.32-7.8459.62-10.96-1.16193.2712.169.0344.93-6.98-29.38207.968.8919.55
22Q4 (13)1.36-16.05-20.00.53-11.67-11.6766.9619.1725.09172.3214.5114.048.30-1.57-13.02190.9821.1728.04
22Q3 (12)1.621.89-1.220.6017.659.0956.19-1.91.52150.49-14.99-8.6549.07-15.4-14.3157.61-10.6-3.21
22Q2 (11)1.595.3-8.090.510.0-10.5357.28-5.048.92177.02-0.1411.3558.00-8.830.75176.301.3514.49
22Q1 (10)1.51-11.18-5.630.51-15.0-13.5660.3212.685.84177.2617.2715.7463.6214.5715.61173.9516.6212.14
21Q4 (9)1.703.661.80.609.09-13.0453.53-3.29-1.92151.16-8.2415.1955.53-3.0228.78149.16-8.44.54
21Q3 (8)1.64-5.21.860.55-3.51-5.1755.355.25-2.17164.743.635.657.26-0.548.96162.845.751.75
21Q2 (7)1.738.1214.570.57-3.399.6252.59-7.72-12.79158.973.79-8.6157.574.62-12.07153.99-0.73-8.76
21Q1 (6)1.60-4.1918.520.59-14.493.5156.994.42-15.51153.1616.71-4.0255.0327.62-8.85155.128.72-6.92
20Q4 (5)1.673.733.730.6918.97-6.7654.58-3.53-3.64131.23-15.887.0643.12-17.94-8.82142.68-10.858.15
20Q3 (4)1.616.620.00.5811.540.056.58-6.170.0156.00-10.310.052.55-19.730.0160.04-5.170.0
20Q2 (3)1.5111.850.00.52-8.770.060.30-10.60.0173.949.010.065.478.450.0168.771.270.0
20Q1 (2)1.35-16.150.00.57-22.970.067.4519.090.0159.5730.180.060.3727.660.0166.6526.320.0
19Q4 (1)1.610.00.00.740.00.056.640.00.0122.580.00.047.290.00.0131.930.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)6.54-4.942.12-12.455.855.34172.4514.2345.43-3.89182.8716.68
2022 (9)6.8816.022.426.6153.02-13.83150.97-5.9747.27-22.79156.73-2.57
2021 (8)5.934.042.27-15.6161.53-3.99160.5518.2361.2224.3160.876.79
2020 (7)5.70-12.712.69-12.3864.0914.61135.8014.2649.25-3.43150.6421.72
2019 (6)6.530.933.07-7.5355.92-0.92118.858.1751.00-9.19123.7612.35
2018 (5)6.4730.713.3222.0656.44-23.42109.87-18.0256.16-23.95110.16-17.72
2017 (4)4.95-16.12.72-14.4773.7019.12134.0216.6373.8535.38133.889.53
2016 (3)5.901.373.183.5861.87-1.31114.91-3.5154.5517.82122.23-9.78
2015 (2)5.82-4.283.07-7.8162.694.34119.098.5646.30-6.63135.4812.72
2014 (1)6.08-16.023.33-15.0560.0819.14109.7017.8349.598.42120.1922.91

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