玩股撇步(動畫小學堂)  

  • 收帳和銷貨天數如果一直上升, 就要當心了!
  • 存貨在不同時期有不同的意義, 像是滯銷, 或是因為報價回升而屯貨, 或是積極備料, 這都需要去看存貨細項和判斷當時的情況來分辨
  • 當存貨增加時, 還需要注意增加的是不是商品或製成品. 如果是在製品或原物料, 反而有可能是供給不順沒法變製成品又或者是需求旺盛(短期營收趨勢向上)
  • 處在景氣下行的公司當存貨細項-原料和在製品的回升可能代表訂單開始回溫了
  • 當記憶體模組廠, 像是威剛、十銓存貨增加時, 有可能是在增加低價庫存, 代表著景氣循環來到相對低點, 也許就是建立部位的好時機
  • 當存貨提列減損損失,虧損認列在該年度,但是存貨價格回升後,之後年度也會直接回沖增加EPS,這種情況很容易在記憶體模組廠見到
  • 存貨一直增加,但是存貨銷售比沒什麼改變,可以推測是公司因為銷售良好而準備的存貨
  • 當淨營業週期(日)接近於0, 代表公司好像在做無本生意
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近20季
存貨銷售比
應收帳款周轉率 QoQ YoY存貨周轉率 QoQ YoY平均收帳天數 QoQ YoY平圴銷貨天數 QoQ YoY應付帳款付現天數 QoQ YoY淨營業週期(日) QoQ YoY
24Q3 (20)0.77-36.36-38.40.79-47.33-14.13117.6156.5261.71115.5890.3516.81122.4584.7734.37110.7459.1337.48
24Q2 (19)1.216.14-15.381.5051.5242.8675.14-5.8917.6660.72-33.91-29.6266.27-21.232.9869.59-20.55-18.87
24Q1 (18)1.14-30.91-11.630.99-20.825.3279.8445.0813.2891.8726.2-20.3284.1317.512.3587.5955.8-21.02
23Q4 (17)1.6532.041.031.2535.8742.0555.03-24.34-29.0972.80-26.43-29.7271.60-21.435.2856.22-30.2-50.34
23Q3 (16)1.25-12.59-27.330.92-12.38-1.0872.7313.8937.6498.9514.681.291.1341.6248.7880.55-6.1-9.87
23Q2 (15)1.4310.85-13.861.0532.9172.1363.86-9.3916.3286.28-25.17-42.0764.35-14.06-43.0185.78-22.65-5.66
23Q1 (14)1.2910.26-13.420.79-10.23-15.0570.48-9.1915.54115.3011.317.7674.8810.1-20.27110.90-2.0370.64
22Q4 (13)1.17-31.98-21.480.88-5.38-25.4277.6146.8826.86103.595.9434.1568.0111.04-12.98113.2026.6687.88
22Q3 (12)1.723.6137.60.9352.46-13.8952.84-3.75-27.5897.78-34.3415.8861.25-45.75-31.0989.37-1.7230.54
22Q2 (11)1.6611.4116.080.61-34.41-47.4154.90-10.0-13.72148.9352.1189.62112.9120.2230.790.9339.9163.02
22Q1 (10)1.490.020.160.93-21.19-17.761.00-0.29-16.7197.9126.7921.4393.9220.183.4264.997.873.06
21Q4 (9)1.4919.2-18.581.189.26-18.6261.18-16.1522.8877.22-8.4922.7978.15-12.0723.9360.25-11.9921.42
21Q3 (8)1.25-12.59-25.151.08-6.912.572.9614.6633.984.387.44-11.0988.882.88-15.6368.4622.7355.48
21Q2 (7)1.4315.32-26.291.162.65-23.1863.63-13.1235.8578.54-2.5930.4786.39-4.879.2655.78-11.5499.43
21Q1 (6)1.24-32.24-1.591.13-22.07-17.5273.2447.11.0380.6328.2121.2790.8144.015.1563.0627.0919.84
20Q4 (5)1.839.5832.611.4551.04-14.7149.79-8.63-24.5362.89-33.7317.2463.06-40.1420.4449.6212.7-26.22
20Q3 (4)1.67-13.920.00.96-36.420.054.4916.330.094.9057.640.0105.3533.240.044.0357.420.0
20Q2 (3)1.9453.970.01.5110.220.046.84-35.380.060.20-9.460.079.07-8.440.027.97-46.850.0
20Q1 (2)1.26-8.70.01.37-19.410.072.499.880.066.4923.960.086.3664.940.052.62-21.750.0
19Q4 (1)1.380.00.01.700.00.065.970.00.053.640.00.052.360.00.067.250.00.0
平均收帳天數和平均銷貨天數-近10年
應收帳款周轉率 YoY存貨周轉率 YoY平均收帳天數 YoY平圴銷貨天數 YoY應付帳款付現天數 YoY淨營業週期(日) YoY
2023 (10)5.506.84.465.1966.33-6.4581.92-4.8868.40-4.4779.86-6.5
2022 (9)5.15-2.654.24-22.9170.902.6986.1229.6871.602.2685.4130.54
2021 (8)5.293.325.50-22.5469.04-3.0766.4129.2370.0210.4165.4310.5
2020 (7)5.120.27.1012.3471.23-0.2951.39-10.9563.42-10.659.211.7
2019 (6)5.11-17.586.324.2971.4421.2557.71-4.2370.94-0.4958.2221.57
2018 (5)6.2032.766.06-26.8158.92-24.6560.2636.6471.290.6547.89-6.96
2017 (4)4.67-3.118.28-4.3978.203.2844.104.5870.839.7551.47-3.52
2016 (3)4.82-25.398.6626.9875.7233.9742.17-21.1564.5424.0953.35-8.02
2015 (2)6.4637.456.8271.7956.52-27.353.48-41.8852.01-45.9258.00-21.17
2014 (1)4.702.173.97-12.5677.74-1.9492.0214.4796.178.2573.583.87

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